Job Title: Downstream Risk Analyst
Location: London or Flexible (with Global Interface)
Employment Type: Permanent
An international energy operator is seeking a Downstream Risk Analyst to join its global optimisation team. This position plays a vital role in supporting crude allocation strategies, refining operations, and market competitiveness through advanced analysis of product pricing, market dynamics, and logistics.
The ideal candidate will provide high-level insight into refined products, chemicals, and crude markets, helping drive commercial decision-making and strategic planning across a global downstream portfolio.
Key Responsibilities
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Analyse global trends and current events affecting energy, refining, and chemicals markets
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Produce independent short-term price forecasts (3 to 4 month outlooks) for crude and refined products
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Work closely with internal trading and product teams to align forecasts with operational insights
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Monitor regional pricing dynamics, including premiums and discounts across markets
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Support contract negotiations and pricing reviews for joint ventures and internal stakeholders
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Evaluate transfer pricing relevance, providing commercial input to commercial and legal teams
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Continuously enhance forecasting models, forward curve methodology, and market engagement practices
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Collaborate across departments to align market forecasts with broader business strategies
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Contribute expert knowledge to performance improvement, risk management, and margin enhancement initiatives
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Assess the commercial impact of refinery configurations, logistics, and market access on product pricing
Minimum Requirements
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Bachelor's degree in Commerce, Marketing, Engineering, Economics, Business Administration or a related discipline
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Postgraduate qualification (e.g. MBA or MSc in Economics) is desirable
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Strong knowledge of data analysis, warehousing, and market data tools
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Minimum of 7 years' experience in the downstream oil and gas sector, including at least 3 years in a market analysis role
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Direct experience analysing refined product markets at global, regional, or country level
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Understanding of trading, corporate planning, and commercial strategy in a complex energy environment
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Excellent communication and interpersonal skills, with a collaborative mindset and ability to share knowledge within cross-functional teams
This is a high-impact role suited to professionals who thrive on translating complex market signals into clear commercial strategies. It offers an opportunity to contribute directly to the optimisation of a global energy portfolio.